Climate change is affecting weather patterns, leading to heavier rainfall and more extreme flooding in some areas. Warmer temperatures mean more moisture in the air, increasing the risk of intense storms. We also know that cyclones are decreasing in frequency but are shifting further south. We are particularly susceptible to coral sea cyclones, east coast lows and atmospheric rivers.
Australia’s natural climate cycles influence rainfall and flood risk. Long periods of drought can make soil hard and water-repellent (hydrophobic), causing rain to run off quickly instead of soaking in, which can make flooding worse.
Rising sea levels are also increasing the risk of storm surges, which occur when strong winds from cyclones and severe storms push ocean water toward the shore, causing sudden coastal flooding. Low air pressure in storms can also make sea levels temporarily rise even higher.
Advances in weather forecasting and flood modelling are improving predictions, but climate change is shifting flood patterns, making some areas more vulnerable to severe events than in the past.